Monday, November 21, 2005

Josh Beckett in, Hank Blalock out?

Supposedly there is a deal in the works that would bring Josh Beckett from the Florida Marlins over to the Rangers for Hank Blalock and either John Danks or Travis Diamond.

Evan Grant from the Dallas Morning News breaks down the pro's and con's of Beckett:

"Pros:
• Dominated 2003 postseason with 2.11 ERA in 42 2/3 innings and was World Series MVP.

• He doesn't turn 26 until May and already has 103 career starts. Pitchers generally start to mature and reach peak performance after 90-100 major league starts.

• Though he averages a strikeout per inning for his career, he's also owner of a solid groundball-to-flyball ratio (1.10 grounders per fly). He averaged 1.14 grounders per fly ball in 2005.

Cons:
• He is a health risk. He's been on the DL seven times in the last four years, at least once per season with a blister or skin tear. The Texas heat is notorious for causing blister problems.

• He pitched in a pitcher-friendly park that often forgives mistakes to the right-center gap. He was 10-2 with a 2.47 ERA at home in 2005, but 5-6 with a 4.31 ERA on the road.

• The AL transition may be tougher than usual. He's never made a regular-season start under AL rules and only one vs. an AL club. He allowed Seattle seven runs in 6 2/3 innings last season. "

I'm very interested in the potential of this deal. Hank is a good, not great player and Danks/Diamond are still unproven at the MLB level...

UPDATE 5:00 CST: ESPN's Jayson Stark believes the Rangers aren't the front-runners to land Beckett and just as usual, Florida is defining their needs and dictating the market to the Rangers.

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